Something is behind a door — cat or not-cat, starting at 1 : 1 odds. Five toggleable clue cards each multiply the odds: furry times 4, meows times 10, purrs times 8, barks times one twentieth, huge times one fifth. On a log-odds ruler from minus 6 to plus 6, each active clue lays down a bar segment end-to-end (+1.4, +2.3, +2.1, −3.0, −1.6 points) and a dot marks the net sum; readouts show the odds product, the points sum, and P(cat) = sigmoid(sum) as a probability bar. Adding up scores and passing the total through a sigmoid is exactly logistic regression.
The cat detector: evidence adds points
Something is behind the door — cat or not-cat? Start at 1 : 1. Each independent clue multiplies the odds — so on the log ruler, it just adds points. Toggle the clues.
odds
points
P(cat) = sigmoid(+3.7) =97.6%
cat 97.6%
Independent clues multiply the odds, so on the log ruler they add. “Add up the scores, then sigmoid” is logistic regression — and it is the same shape as the reward model's Bradley–Terry gap: the sigmoid just translates a total on the straight ruler back into a probability.